Financial Modeling & Analysis
Numbers built to be interrogated — and to hold.
CMA builds the models, analysis, and dashboards that decisions and raises rest on — from a $380M project financing to a first-time owner's projections. Not a spreadsheet of guesses: assumption-driven work a funder, a board, or a bank can trace, flex, and stress-test without it breaking.
The Outcome
What you leave with
A model is only worth what it lets you defend. You leave with numbers that survive scrutiny — and the decision or raise they unlock.
A model that survives diligence
Assumption-driven, sourced, and stress-tested — so it holds up when a lender or investor pushes on every number.
The coverage story funders read
Debt-service coverage, cash-flow waterfalls, and sensitivities — the exact evidence capital decides on.
Numbers you can flex
Change one assumption and it cascades cleanly through revenue, costs, and returns — no hard-coded outputs, no black box.
Who This Is For
Every size, every stage, every industry
The range is deliberate. CMA has modeled a ~$380M, 932 MW energy project financing — the BRE model, one of the largest and most complex builds in the firm's book — and, in the same month, a first set of projections for an owner-operated shop. In between sits everything that turns on a defensible number:
- Real estate & development — acquisition, development & RV/hospitality models
- Energy & infrastructure — project finance, PPAs, DSCR & bankability
- Law firms & professional services — practice economics, partner comp & forecasting
- Startups raising capital — seed, Series A/B — use-of-proceeds & staged raises
- Established SMBs — operating models, unit economics & scenarios
- Mom-and-pop & first-time owners — their first real projections, done right
For CEOs and CFOs, that also means the analysis and dashboards to run the business after the model is built — not just the raise, but the reporting that keeps the numbers honest all year.
Selected Modeling
Models that carried the decision
From a ~$380M solar project financing to a pre-seed staged raise, CMA's models have carried engagements across a very wide range of scale — every figure here is real, from the actual project files. A few, with permission:
Service 1 of 6
Projections & Operating Models
The core of most engagements: a full **operating model** that projects the business forward from assumptions you can see and change. Revenue is built from real drivers — not a growth rate typed into a cell — and the three statements reconcile, so the model tells one coherent story.
Built for a startup finding its footing or an operating company planning its next phase, and always to the standard a lender or investor will actually open and probe.
Service 2 of 6
Unit Economics & Pricing Math
Totals hide; units reveal. We build the **unit economics** that show whether the business actually works — cost to produce or serve, price, contribution margin, and the volume it takes to break even. For a physical product or a subscription alike, this is where a model earns its credibility.
It's also where pricing decisions get made honestly: what a change does to margin, and what it takes to grow profitably rather than just grow.
Service 3 of 6
Fundraising & Use-of-Proceeds Models
A raise is a modeling problem before it's a pitch. We build the model that ties **the ask to what it purchases, what it returns, and on what timeline** — including staged raises where each round is unlocked by a milestone. For one deep-tech venture that meant a roadmap from a $75K angel SAFE toward roughly $3M across phases.
Reconciled to the business plan and the deck, so diligence finds one set of numbers rather than three that disagree.
Service 4 of 6
Project Finance & Debt Modeling
For capital-heavy assets, the model *is* the deal. We build **lender-grade project-finance models** — debt sizing, amortization, **DSCR**, and cash-flow waterfalls — the way a senior lender decides. On a 932 MW solar project we modeled a **~$380M facility** against PPA-anchored revenue to a **1.46–1.89× DSCR**, with CAPEX tested with and without the local tax incentive.
Coverage ratios, repayment alignment, and a real downside case are exactly what turns a large, complex asset into a financeable one.
Service 5 of 6
Financial Analysis & CEO/CFO Dashboards
A model tells you where you're going; **analysis and dashboards** tell you where you are. We turn the numbers into decisions — **financial-statement and variance analysis**, KPI and trend reporting, and benchmarking against where the business should be — so an owner or executive sees the truth at a glance instead of digging for it.
For **CEOs and CFOs**, that means live **dashboards** and board- and lender-ready reporting: the comprehensive financial picture that keeps a business accountable to its own numbers month after month, not just at raise time. It's the difference between a document you file and a system you run the company on.
Service 6 of 6
Model Review & Stress-Testing
Already have a model? We'll **pressure-test it** before a funder does — auditing the assumptions and the formulas, running the sensitivities, and telling you plainly whether it survives the data room. If the bones are sound, we tighten and stress-test; if they aren't, we quote the rebuild before it costs you the meeting.
Because in a diligence process, the fastest way to lose credibility is a model that breaks when someone changes one number.
Stop defending guesses. Build a model that holds.
How It Works
How a modeling engagement runs
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Scope the decision
Thirty minutes on the raise or decision the model serves, and who will interrogate it. We fix the scope and the price.
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Set the assumptions
We define and document every driver on a transparent tab — the honest foundation the whole model rests on.
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Build & reconcile
Projections, unit economics, and any debt or coverage structure — built so the statements agree and every number traces to a source.
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Stress-test & hand off
Sensitivities and downside cases, then a model you can flex yourself — and defend when the questions come.
FAQ
Financial modeling questions
What kinds of financial models does CMA build?
The full range small and mid-market businesses actually need: startup and operating projections with three-statement output, unit-economics models, fundraising and use-of-proceeds models, and lender- and investor-grade project-finance models — including debt sizing, amortization, DSCR, and cash-flow waterfalls. Every model is built from stated assumptions on a transparent tab, so a lender or investor can trace and flex any number.
How is a real financial model different from a spreadsheet of guesses?
A credible model is driven by assumptions, not hard-coded outputs — change one input and it cascades through revenue, costs, and returns without breaking. Ours are built to be interrogated: sources cited, sensitivities included, and the "what happens if" cases a funder will ask for already there. A number you cannot defend is worse than no number at all.
Do you model project finance — debt sizing, DSCR, coverage?
Yes. We build lender-grade project-finance models for capital-heavy assets — for one 932 MW solar project we modeled a ~$380M senior facility with PPA-anchored revenue, a debt-service coverage ratio of 1.46–1.89x, and CAPEX tested with and without the local tax incentive. Coverage ratios, amortization alignment, and a downside case are exactly what a senior lender decides on.
Can you size a market as well as model the business?
That is often the point. Bottom-up market sizing (TAM/SAM/SOM) and unit economics are two halves of the same argument — how big the opportunity is and how the business makes money inside it. Modeling pairs naturally with our market-research and business-plan work, so the projections rest on a sized, evidenced market rather than a hopeful assumption.
I already have a model. Can you pressure-test it instead of rebuilding?
Often, yes. A model review checks the assumptions, the formulas, and whether the outputs survive scrutiny — the same rigor we apply to our own builds. If the bones are sound we tighten and stress-test; if they are not, we tell you plainly and quote the rebuild before you take it into a data room.
How are modeling engagements priced?
Standalone models and model reviews are fixed-scope and fixed-price, agreed on the intro call. Modeling bundled into a business plan or funding package is priced as part of that engagement. Complex project-finance work is scoped to the asset. No hidden fees, no hourly meter.
Free Checklist
Are you raise-ready?
The 12 things a lender or investor checks before they say yes — the same standard we build every model to. Score yourself before the room does.
- A three-statement model that holds up
- A DSCR and downside case lenders read
- An honestly sized market (TAM/SAM/SOM)
- A use of proceeds tied to milestones
The Full Practice